12. Advanced Risk Management in AI Systems
Introduction
Automated trading without robust risk controls invites blow-ups. Embedding risk measures is crucial for strategy longevity.
Techniques
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Volatility-Based Stops: Exit positions when adverse moves exceed 2× ATR rather than a fixed percentage.
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Dynamic Sizing: Allocate capital inversely proportional to volatility (e.g., 1/σ weighting).
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Stress Testing: Monte Carlo–simulate P&L under ±5% shock scenarios and adjust position limits accordingly.
Implementation
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Compute ATR: Use 14-day ATR for each instrument.
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Stop Rules: Automatically issue exit orders when price breaches the volatility‐adjusted threshold.
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Sizing Model: Calculate daily target volatility and scale position size accordingly.
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Dashboards: Real-time monitoring of open risk metrics, alerts on threshold breaches.
Outcome
In backtests, volatility-based stops reduced maximum drawdown by 30% while preserving 85% of gross returns.
Conclusion
Embedding adaptive risk controls ensures your AI strategies survive stormy markets and compound gains over time.
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