10. AI-Driven Options Trading Bots
Introduction
Options provide leverage and income. AI bots can forecast implied-volatility (IV) shifts and choose appropriate strategies—straddles, strangles, or credit spreads.
Core Components
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IV Forecasting: Combine GARCH models with LSTM neural networks on historical IV time series.
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Strategy Rules:
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Long straddle if predicted IV rise >15%.
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Short iron condor when skew is flat and IV low.
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Risk Controls: Maximum notional exposure and daily P&L limits.
Implementation Guide
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Data Feed: Ingest live options chain data via TDAmeritrade API.
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Feature Engineering: Compute 25-delta skew, open interest changes, time to expiration.
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Model Training: Fit an LSTM on IV history; use forecast to trigger entry.
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Execution Module: Automate order submission and adjust quotes as IV evolves.
Performance Metric
During earnings seasons (2019–2023), the bot captured IV spikes with an average 20% return per trade, maintaining drawdowns under 8%.
Conclusion
An AI‐driven options bot can exploit volatility dynamics systematically—balancing return potential with disciplined risk management.
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