2025년 7월 7일 월요일

★ 20 Ways to Generate Stock Investment Profits with AI - 7. Reinforcement Learning (RL) for Sequential Trading

 

7. Reinforcement Learning (RL) for Sequential Trading

Introduction
Reinforcement learning (RL) treats trading as a sequential decision-making problem: agents learn to maximize cumulative reward through trial and error.

RL Framework

  • State: Recent returns, volatility metrics, current positions.

  • Action Space: Buy, hold, sell signals per asset.

  • Reward: Profit/Loss net of transaction costs and risk penalties.

  • Algorithms: Deep Q-Networks (DQN), Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO).

Building an RL Agent

  1. Environment: Use OpenAI Gym Finance or custom backtester.

  2. Model Architecture: Feed forward network or CNN for state representation.

  3. Training: Simulate thousands of episodes on historical data; apply ε-greedy exploration.

  4. Evaluation: Compare RL policy against benchmark strategies; monitor drawdowns.

Example Outcome
A DQN agent trained on mid-cap stocks realized a simulated 14% annualized return with a 9% maximum drawdown over a 5-year test.

Conclusion
While complex to set up, RL offers a novel way to let algorithms discover trading rules—adapting continuously to evolving market dynamics.

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