7. Reinforcement Learning (RL) for Sequential Trading
Introduction
Reinforcement learning (RL) treats trading as a sequential decision-making problem: agents learn to maximize cumulative reward through trial and error.
RL Framework
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State: Recent returns, volatility metrics, current positions.
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Action Space: Buy, hold, sell signals per asset.
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Reward: Profit/Loss net of transaction costs and risk penalties.
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Algorithms: Deep Q-Networks (DQN), Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO).
Building an RL Agent
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Environment: Use OpenAI Gym Finance or custom backtester.
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Model Architecture: Feed forward network or CNN for state representation.
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Training: Simulate thousands of episodes on historical data; apply ε-greedy exploration.
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Evaluation: Compare RL policy against benchmark strategies; monitor drawdowns.
Example Outcome
A DQN agent trained on mid-cap stocks realized a simulated 14% annualized return with a 9% maximum drawdown over a 5-year test.
Conclusion
While complex to set up, RL offers a novel way to let algorithms discover trading rules—adapting continuously to evolving market dynamics.
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